Arrival of AGI - Prediction

Where we got the data from:

We are using the estimate of the Metaculus community.

Metaculus users predict:

"When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced? February 1, 2033."

How we display the data

The live counter counts up to the date specified above in Years and Days

Change log

Source last updated: July 4, 2023

We added this source on May 31, 2023

Considerations

Please note that our dashboard displays findings, predictions and data from different sources, which may at times overlap and contradict each other. Each visualized data set is therefore intended to be viewed in isolation. When citing the data in your work, you may link to our website but you must attribute the data to its original source, outlined in the box below.